User blog comment:Leolab/User Siege Tourney, Round 35 of 54: Cfp3157 (Shengway) v Beastman14 (Ryan)/@comment-5522042-20131124164926

Attacker
Overrun: Possible. It's been stated before that Shengway's army is best suited for a battle in an open field. Since Ryan wont stay in his castle, Shengway will get just that kind of battle. His elephants and chariots will decimait any cavalry and infantry and whoever survives will likely be overrun assuming they don't surrender.

Force Surrender: Possible. Whether Ryan likes it or not, his troops will probably betray him, kill him, then surrender.

Win Single Combat: Possible. Shengway has thicker armor and much better weaponry.

Defender
Force Attacker to Surrender: Possible, but unlikely. Shengway, despite being a overall better general, still has a low loyalty score.

Annihilate Attacker: Highly unlikely. Ryan's army is too weak and ill lead to do this. He'd require divine intervention.

Survive 4 months: No. Ryan wouldn't even have the patience to wait a week. He'll charge out of the castle within a day or two.

Win Single Combat: Possible, but unlikely. As stated before, Shengway is better armed.

Tie
One Side Loses General and Meets Victory Conditions: Unlikely.

Both Sides Lose Generals: Possible. In the chaos that unfolds outside of the castle, both could die, though it's more likely for Ryan to perish.

Winner: Shengway