User blog comment:Leolab/User Siege Tourney, Round 31 of 64: Utter Noob (Celina) v Beastman14 (Ryan)/@comment-422690-20131028143604

So...

Attacker

Overrun: Possible. Despite the fact that Celina has no siege weaponry, Ryan's major defensive tactic is "run away". She can easily take the fort after he's gone.

Force surrender: Possible. Ryan's forces may get into a pitched battle with Celina's forces, and she's far better equipped for it. Ryan's force also has the lower Loyalty score (though not by much), which is likely to affect this.

Single Combat: N/A

Defender:

Annihilate Attacker: Not happening. As mentioned, Celina's forces are better equipped for a pitched battle. Ryan also has no crew for his siege weaponry - he can't use them. He also doesn't have anyone to dig that moat.

Force Surrender: Not likely. An attacker running away is not something to inspire surrenders.

Hold out for 4 months: Not happening in the least. As mentioned repeatedly, Ryan's main strategy is to run away.

Tie:

Die and win: Possible. Celina's in danger of being killed in this fight.

Both die: Possible. Both are in danger of dying, and not always by their enemy.

Overall:

Attacker: 2

Defender: 0

Tie: 2

... well shit. Coin flip time! Best out of 11. Attacker is heads, Tie is tails.

6H-5T

Celina wins.