User blog comment:Leolab/Tarot Royale: Way too many people/@comment-422690-20200101050132

Sewers Slums Blue Collar District White Collar District Wealthy District 1% District
 * 22nd, Kai Leng: Kai Leng is going to lose first. He has absolutely no actual combat skills, instead relying on plot armor to do the heavy lifting. His monomolecular blade will shatter the instant it hits something, he has no idea how to actually use his invisibility cloak, and he’s arrogant enough to try and fight without it anyway. Enjoy your 25 losses, shitbag.
 * 21st, Tal Graile-Rerem: Tal is most likely out next. He has the least experience in combat out of all the participants. While his extraordinarily powerful light magic can make up for that, it simply won’t take him much farther.
 * 20th, Miu Yarai: Miu’s out here, thanks to a blend of the sewers hindering her more mobile combat style and her strict morality locking her out from one of the victory conditions. While she’s certainly able to knock Tal or Kai Leng out, she’ll have a much harder time against the more seasoned combatants. Further, her requirement for human blood to fuel her abilities will also hinder her, as she needs to find a civilian to truly utilize it, and her moral code prevents her from simply taking blood as needed.
 * 19th, Akechi Goro: Sketchy Akechi bows out here, thanks mostly to the sewer environment hindering his ability to use his Personas directly in combat. If he had more room at the start he might have made it farther, but the narrow spaces cut off most of his options and his narcissism means he’ll try to fight anyway.
 * 18th, Azaka Kokutou: Azaka is the most likely to fall next, thanks to her relatively straightforward nature. She’s a ripe target for being manipulated, betrayed, or just straight-up abandoned. Honestly speaking, from this point on it’s really hard to decide who falls where; it’s quite close until we get to the upper levels, and even the slightest disadvantage can lead to a defeat.
 * 17th, Hitomi Hitoyoshi: Hitomi bows out here, thanks to her poor mobility. She’s not going to make it from the Sewers to the Slums in time, and will fill that lose condition. She could probably still win in combat against most of the other people left, but as I mentioned with Azaka these are close enough that every disadvantage is a potential loss.
 * 16th, Aoi Kamishiro: Aoi is most likely to lose here, thanks to her headstrong nature. Sadly, even Divine Possession is not likely to help her at this point; in fact, her ability to be controlled easily will more than likely backfire against her at this point, setting her up to fail against those who can take advantage of it.
 * 14th, Algol and Len Ese: Algol and Len are the next out. For Algol, this is thanks to his arrogance fucking him over. While he has plenty of power, his sheer (semi-founded) faith in his own abilities will lead him to underestimate his foes. He can probably power through most of the field up to now, but the rest need to be approached with more caution. As for Len, her lack of practical combat experience is her ultimate downfall. She can make it this far thanks to her Divine Sword injecting her with combat knowledge, but she’s going to struggle to get much farther with her meagre combat abilities.
 * 13th, Siegfried of the Netherlands: Siegfried’s out here; his abilities and equipment will only get him so far when his only actual magic is his invisibility cloak. Unlike Diarmuid in JT, he’s more than willing to do whatever he needs to win. Like him, however, his arsenal falls short of what is really required to win. His armored skin will start to fail him here, with most foes able to bypass it and those that can’t can read him enough to find his weakness.
 * 12th, Artorius Collbrande: Artorius makes it this far based on his combat skill alone, as he is most likely able to fight off all other attempts to do him in. From here on, however, his handicap will start to hinder him more and more against the remaining combatants. I was considering putting him farther up, but I can’t really justify it.
 * 11th, Joseph Joestar: Broseph Brostar loses here, like Siegfried above mostly due to his lackluster skillset. While Hamon and Hermit Purple are great tools to catch a foe by surprise, his quick wit will probably be running out of anything to exploit around here.
 * 10th, Hanakamakiri: Hanakamakiri loses next. Her abilities are incredible, but she relies a little too much on misdirection and feints. Her actual physical strength is not too high, despite her athleticism, and she needs to have perfect play against the remaining foes.
 * 9th, Suzushiro Shikikagura: Suzushiro’s a powerhouse, but she’s ultimately got no real defense other than dodging. Like Hanakamakiri, she has absolutely no room for error against the higher-ranking foes, and being that flawless is near-impossible.
 * 8th, Kaladin Stormblessed: Kaladin loses next, thanks mostly to Mat but also the abilities of everyone above this to get past Syl. Since Syl is technically magic, attempting to use her to attack Mat will kill her and strip Kal of his powers. While other matchups are more in Kaladin’s favor, we’re reaching the point where he’s going to be faltering with Stormlight, and thus less able to fight.
 * 7th, Matrim Caurhon: Mat Cauthon finally loses here, his incredible luck and leadership ability finally running dry. While he can nullify most forms of magic, the remaining fighters either don’t use it or can get around it. Without the magic nullification, he’s simply a highly skilled, and very lucky, normal human. Alliances, his best bet and most likely option thanks to his inherited leadership abilities, are going to start falling apart here. And, while he’s very good at surviving things he shouldn’t, he’s likely to be disabled.
 * 6thRoy Mustang: Roy, who I’m pretty surprised is a new arrival, gets sixth. He has high power, high intelligence, and he is a natural leader. All these traits will get him past the bulk of the competitors, but here he is most likely to falter. Bane, Yukie, and Fiona can disable him quicker than he can disable them, Haar straight-up fucks his Alchemy up, and Queen is, well, Queen.
 * 5th, Yukie Mayuzumi: Yukie gets fifth pretty handily. Her abilities as a swordswoman are unparalleled, and her pure speed cannot be overstated. Everyone below her is equivalent to or lesser than the foes she fights on a daily basis. Despite her young age and relative inexperience, she has faced a wide variety of foes. Additionally, she will learn and grow as a swordswoman as the match goes on, catching up to and surpassing anyone who would be above her. Unfortunately, Fiona, Bane, and Queen all have a significant leg up on her in terms of experience and power. Haar does, too, but he’s most likely taking a nap in the sky at this point.
 * 3rd, Fiona Annabel Kousaki and Haar: Third is a tie between Fiona and Haar. Fiona gets this for her superlative abilities alone; she’s far and away the most effective fighter in the entire tournament. Her immense mobility, quick thinking, and sheer skill would probably have propelled her to first place if it weren’t for the fact that Haar and the top two screw with the game itself. Haar’s dragon allows him to simply circle above the competition, completely ignoring his enemies until he’s forced to the ground. Even then, his Nihil skill completely fucks with his opponent’s abilities, forcing them to fight on skill alone. This will be enough to get him out of the sewers to get his dragon, at which point he’s just going to sleep in the air.
 * 2nd, Darth Bane: Darth Bane will make second, thanks not just to his power and skills but also to Essence Transfer. Being able to manipulate the loss conditions is a powerful asset, one which will carry him farther than simple lightsaber prowess and strength in the Force. While these are not to be underestimated, especially because the Force can prevent some methods of incapacitation, the ability to play the metagame drops Bane in second. He barely misses first, however, because Essence Transfer can be resisted, while the winner’s metagaming can’t be.
 * 1st, Queen: And that just leaves Queen. Queen is likely going to take this for the simple reason that the loss conditions are her bitch. Her immense mobility thanks to Speedrush, ability to dodge, and Esuna are going to prevent her from being left behind or disabled, but the Lucid Lenses and Odin both completely change the game by extending her life past her first death. If she gets killed in combat, she’s almost guaranteed to get a surprise kill, thanks both to the resurrective function of the Lenses and the 20 whole seconds of invincibility. Further, both her own Justice Guard and the summon Odin allow her to create and exploit Killsights, which will instantly kill any target, and the latter essentially allows her to extend her life by 110 seconds. Queen gets this because she fucks with the game itself