User blog comment:Cfp3157/Pokémon Tournament: Lloyd Hemlock vs. Lysander Summers/@comment-422690-20140920041705

I know this won't count, but since ABR's the only one with a complete vote, I thought I'd bump this. This is more of my personal analysis than a vote, though.

The way I'm structuring this is based on how Cfp has hinted he'll do the fights. If I've gotten that wrong, Cfp, let me know.

So...

Round 1: Barkspawn v Gabriel

Lloyd:   Oooooo Lysander: Oooooo

Out of Gabriel's six moves, four are not going to be very effective due to typing. However, only one of Barkspawn's moves have a type disadvantage. This gives a major, major edge to Barkspawn, even discounting the held items. Barkspawn's item lets Sunny Day, which boosts her fire attacks and lets her instantly fire Solar Beam, last for five turns. Gabriel's got a very nice item for when she has a type advantage, but she doesn't.

Win: Barkspawn

Round 2: Surgeon v Willow

Lloyd:   oOoooo Lysander: xOoooo

In terms of type effectiveness, Willow can put immense hurt on Surgeon with Magical Leaf, while Surgeon doesn't have anything comparable, since there are no type advantages nor disadvantages to consider. Willow, however, is holding a life orb, which damages her every time she attacks. Surgeon will go down quickly, but she will be able to get Stealth Rock off as well as a few other moves.

Win: Willow

Round 3: Mariner v Brahm

Lloyd:   oxOooo Lysander: xoOooo

Brahm is at a disadvantage right off the bat with Stealth Rock, though it's not as bad due to his resistance to Rock. Here, type effectiveness matters little, since neither has heavy hitters nor immunities. Mariner has an excellent offense, but where he really shines is his defense. Brahm's got an excellent offense and speed, but has a lot lower defense. In essence, this is the fragile speedster against the mighty glacier, though Mariner's speed isn't that low. He also has several tricks up his sleeve, like the Hail -> Blizzard combo, which gives a passive damage and a guaranteed hit.

Then there's Mariner's Mega Evolution, which just tips the scales so far in his direction that it's just kinda sad.

Win: Mariner

Round 4: Osha v Angelus

Lloyd:   oxoOoo Lysander: xoxOoo

Angelus is severely injured right off the bat due to Stealth Rock thanks to his weakness to the type. Osha also has an immense amount of resistances and immunities. Unfortunately for her, all of Angelus' moves except for Smog have a type advantage. On the other hand, she can only hit with Iron Head, Rock Slide, and Shadow Ball; the first is resisted, but the latter two are super effective. While she can try to turtle with King's Shield, she's ultimately going down hard.

Win: Angelus

Round 5: Splicer v Salazar

Lloyd:   oxoxOo Lysander: xoxoOo

Like Brahm, Salazar enters with slight injury due to resisting Stealth Rock. Like Osha, Salazar is completely, utterly fucked. He can only hit Splicer with one move - Night Slash - which becomes very limited in effectiveness thanks to Pressure decreasing the times Salazar can use it. Splicer, on the other hand, has a wide range of options, including the super effective Omnious Wind and Shadow Sneak. These are also boosted by Spell Tag, hitting even harder than they would otherwise. On top of all of this, Salazar's holding a life orb. He's only able to attack with one move, and he's hurting himself every single time he does.

Win: Splicer

Round 6: Shale v Soma

Lloyd:   oxoxoO Lysander: xoxoxO

Like the rest of Lysander's team, Soma's coming in with some damage from Stealth Rock. Soma only has two attack moves, while Shale's got five that are boosted by his ability and item. Soma's built as a heal tank, winning through attrition against a foe. Unfortunately, that's not going to work very well with Shale. As ABR said below, Iron Fist + Muscle Belt + Type Advantage = crazy powerful Drain Punch. Soma will barely survive one of those, and it'll heal Shale for half of that massive hit. Soma can't keep the attrition up long enough.

Win: Shale

Round 7: Barkspawn v Willow

Lloyd:   Oxoxoo Lysander: xOxoxx

Barkspawn and Willow will both be going into this nearly fresh. Willow, however, will take a hit from Stealth Rock. Additionally, Barkspawn's immune to Psyshock and Future Sight and resistant to Torment and Magical Leaf. Barkspawn has no super effective moves, but she doesn't need any. Sunny Day boosts her fire attacks, which when coupled with the instant Solar Beam it allows is enough for Barkspawn to get a win even without factoring in the HP depletion of the life orb.

Win: Barkspawn

Round 8: Mariner v Angelus

Lloyd:   oxOxoo Lysander: xxxOxx

Angelus is already heavily injured from his fight with Osha; the initial Stealth Rock did a good deal of damage, and her Rock Slide and Shadow Ball likely took their toll as well. He then gets hit, again, with a super effective Stealth Rock right out of the gate. This should end the battle right here, and even if it doesn't then a single attack from Mariner, especially the super effective Smack Down, will quickly finish it off.

Winner: Mariner

Final Tally: Lloyd wins

Lloyd:   oxOxoo Lysander: xxxxxx