User blog comment:Leolab/User Siege Tourney, Round 23 of 63: Beastman14 (Ryan) v Cfp3157 (Shengway)/@comment-24180428-20130808010326

Utter noob's "Leo's Ocupation..." Edges:

Attacker
Overrun-Ryan has canons, which is a start, but none of his troops have armor. Pirates used to having firearms and now have to use crossbows. Cavalry is not very effective with crossbows, and a lance would be a much better choice than a bording pike. In the end no armor and poor weapons makes this impossible.

Force Surrender-Ryan's troops are more likely to rout than Shengway's are to surrender. Due to loyalty score and armor.

Win single combat-Superior armor and intelligence makes this difficult for Ryan. Anything he has will bounce of the chestplate or hoplon. Without a helmet, there is nothing stopping Shengway from decapitating him.

Defender
Force attacker to surrender-Ryan himself might not surrender, but his troops might. A low loyalty score makes this possible.

Annihilate attacker-Likely. No armor will make them sitting ducks for Ballistas, Catapults, and Crossbows.

Survive 4 months-Possible assuming Ryan's men don't get wiped out, betray him, or flee within the first week.

Tie-Unlikely. Ryan wont be getting far into the castle (if at all) to find and kill Shengway.

Overall-Shengway. The only thing to weight him down is the bees and elephants...and we know one of those wont be an issue.