User blog comment:Leolab/User Siege Tourney, Round 28 of 63: Redkite (Markus) v Utter Noob (Celina)/@comment-422690-20130914164336

So...

Attacker:

Overrun Castle: Likely. Markus has the equipment needed to breach the walls, and Celina doesn't have the manpower to hold him back.

Force Surrender: Likely. Markus has the second-highest Loyalty score in the entire tourney. Celina has the second-lowest of the remaining combatants.

Single Combat: N/A

Defender:

Annihilate Attacker: Not happening. The cannons and crossbowmen aren't going to be as effective as she thinks. Precision weaponry like that is good en-masse, but Markus's men have tower shields to block the crossbow bolts, and can still easily avoid the cannonballs.

Force Surrender: Pfft. Dat loyalty score...

Survive: Yeah, not happening. She'll be dead by Markus's command or by her own troops' reenactment of the Ides of March.

Single Combat: N/A

Tie

Die and win: Not likely. Markus is too well-armored to perish while taking the castle, and Celina's not going to meet any victory condition.

Both Die: Nope. Celina's toast. Markus can live through this easily.

Overall:

Attacker: 2/2

Defender: 0/3

Tie: 0/2

Winner: Markus Thaowan.