User blog comment:Leolab/User Siege Tourney, Round 16 of 75: Beastman14 (Ryan) v MilitaryBrat (Evans)/@comment-422690-20130622165338

So...

Attacking:

Overrun: Possible, but not likely. Ryan's using a human wave tactic, which'll get most of his men killed - he only has 5,000 - so when he breaks through, he'll be facing a numerically superior force with depleted numbers AND no armor.

Force Surrender: Likely. His psychological warfare tactics have a chance of forcing a surrender from either Evans or his army.

Win Single Combat: See Below.

Defender:

Force Surrender: Likely. Most of Ryan's army will probably desert him.

Annihilate Attacker: Highly likely. He has 1500 archers. Ryan has 5,000 men total. None have armor. Ryan's waves can counter with a volley of crossbow fire, but a human wave won't afford many opportunities.

Survive for 4 months: Likely. He has a quarter of Ryan's strength in archers who can fire with relative impunity - they have armor, while their opponents do not - and even if they aren't annihilated, there won't be enough left after the first wave to breach the castle.

Win Single Combat: See below.

Tie:

Both generals die: Well... Evans might face mutiny. Ryan almost certainly will. So this is a "maybe"

One dies and succeeds: Not likely at all.

Single Combat

Main Hand/Off Hand: Cutlass/Throwing knife wins. It's kinda dumb to try and dual-wield with a Claymore.

Polearm: Alabarda wins. *sings*Everything you can do I can do better...*stops singing, looks embarrassed*

Ranged: Yumi wins. Well... it's a reloading contest here. The Yumi wins by far in that regard.

Overall: Ryan will win single combat, since he's not trying to dual-wield a two-handed weapon.